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现阶段世界能源消费呈现以下热点:1)受经济发展和人口增长的影响,世界一次能源消费量不断增加;2)世界能源消费呈现不同的增长模式,发达国家因进入后工业化社会,经济向低能耗、高产出的产业结构发展,能源消费增长速率明显低于发展中国家;3)世界能源消费结构趋向优质化,但地区差异仍然很大;4)世界能源资源仍比较丰富,但能源贸易及运输压力增大。未来,伴随着能源消费的持续增长和能源资源分布集中度的日益增大,对能源资源的争夺将日趋激烈,争夺的方式也更加复杂;同时,化石能源对环境的污染和全球气候的影响将日趋严重。面对以上挑战,世界能源供应和消费将向多元化、清洁化、高效化、全球化和市场化趋势发展。鉴于国情,我国应特别注意依靠科技进步和政策引导,提高能源效率,寻求能源的清洁化利用,积极倡导能源、环境和经济的可持续发展,并积极借鉴国际先进经验,建立和完善我国能源安全体系。
Abstract:The current global energy consumption features the following: 1) Due to economic development and population growth, global consumption of the primary energy is increasing steadily. 2) Global energy consumption takes different forms of increase. Developed countries, having entered the post- industrial era, are heading for the industrial structure of low energy consumption and high output, so their energy consumption growth rates are far lower than those of developing countries. 3) Global energy consumption patterns tend to be optimized, while significant differences remain in various regions. 4) There are abundant energy resources, while energy trade and transport are put under increasing pressure. With the continuous increase in energy consumption and increasing localization of energy resources in the future, competition for energy resources will be fiercer than ever, making competition more complex. At the same time, fossil energy will lead to more and more serious environmental pollution, and will greatly influence the global climate. Challenged by the above, the world will have to strive for diversified, cleaned, efficient, globalized and market-oriented energy supply and consumption. As for China, special attention will have to be paid to the reliance on advances in science and in policy guidance, the improvement of energy efficiency, and the search for, and utilization of, clean energy Further, China must advocate sustained development of energy, improvement of the environment and economy and, build and strengthen it's energy security system by referencing proven international practices.
[1] BP Statistical Review of WorldEnergy. BP Group, June 2004
[2] World Energy Outlook. IEA,2002
[3] Annual Energy Outlook 2004 WithProjections to 2025. DOE/EIA, January 2004
基本信息:
中图分类号:F416.2
引用信息:
[1]唐炼.世界能源供需现状与发展趋势[J].国际石油经济,2005(01):30-33+71.
2005-01-20
2005-01-20